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Mapping Wild Cards

Inspired by: interviews » All goods and services produced or consumed by people can be realised on the basis of barter trade.

version: 4 / updated: 2011-11-18
id: #1921 / version id: #1921
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Ivan Montenegro Perini
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Last changed by: Ivan Montenegro Perini
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Source of inspiration


The source of the Wild Card is

Libor STEJSKAL, Charles University, interviewed by TC AS


(max. 9 words)

All goods and services produced or consumed by people can be realised on the basis of barter trade.


(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Wild Card (approx. 150 words)
The growing use of technologies in production is a significant trend, along with the related structural unemployment of a considerable part of the workforce. This can result in a wild card which could be characterised as a turn away from the official monetary economy towards commutation of production and consumption. Families can emancipate from sector of the official economy contributing to the creation of the GDP in certain socially segregated territories even today.


production, technology, workforce, economy


Closest timeframe for at least 50% likelihood
Please use one of the following options:

Type of event

Human planned (e.g. terrorist attack or funded scientific breakthrough)

Type of emergence

please select (if any) describe related trend or situation
A new development/situation
(e.g. a Romani state is established in central Europe; A message from an alien civilisation existing on a distant planet is received and understood, etc.

Type of systems affected





please specify:
please select
Level 4: important for the whole world

Latent phase

Obstacles for early indentification

information/communicational filters (media/editorial interests, language, reasoning)
cultural/religious filters (values, traditions, faith, spiritual beliefs)
economic filters (business/market interests)
social filters (class, status, education level)

Manifestation phase

Type of manifestation

Very uncertain

Relevance for Grand Challenges

where? please justify:
particularly relevant Europe world
Behavioural change
Education dynamics
Food security and diet
Governance and trust in democracy
Social cohesion and diversity
Economic prosperity/dynamics
Globalization vs. localization
Innovation dynamics
Sustainability and climate change

Relevance for thematic research areas

please justify:
particularly relevant
Food, Agriculture and Fisheries, and Biotechnology
Environment (including Climate Change)

Pan-European strategies potentially helping to deal with the wild card

please justify:
particularly relevant
Strengthening research institutions and universities
Facilitating and promoting knowledge sharing and transfer
Increasing the efficiency and impact of public research through Joint Programming (i.e. combining national and pan-European research efforts) or the optimisation of research programmes and priorities, for example.
Fostering and facilitating coherent international cooperation in science and technology

 Features of a research-friendly ecology contributing to deal with the wild card

For further information about 'research-friendly strategies' click here

please justify:
particularly relevant
Strengthening the actors in the research-friendly ecology
(i.e. Research funding organisations, universities, businesses, Research and Technology Organisations, Researchers and Citizens)
Addressing cohesion through a localised articulation between supply and demand
(e.g. making research institutions more engaged with their own context and local users; reinforcing knowledge flows into and out of regions; etc.
Creating a closer link between researchers & policy-makers
(e.g. supporting both thematic and cross-cutting policies, highlighting the strategic purpose of the European Research Area, etc.