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Mapping Weak Signals

Inspired by: FP7 » Increasing Migration Due To Climate Change

version: 1 / created: 2009-11-30
id: #477 / version id: #477
mode: VIEW

Originally submitted by: Cornelia Daheim
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Last changed by: Cornelia Daheim
WI-WE status:

Source of inspiration

European Commission Framework Programme for RTD (FP7)

Theme/activity of inspiration

IDEAS: Interdisciplinary

Signal's headline

(max. 9 words)
Increasing Migration Due To Climate Change

Signal's description

(approx. 150 words)
Please describe the Weak Signal (approx. 150 words)
Extreme weather phenomena such as hurricanes, storm floods or droughts are already causing migration, especially in parts of Africa and Asia (e.g. in India about 4 mio. people leave their homes temporarily every year). Besides the rising number of these sudden incidents, there are increased "creeping" aftermaths of climate change, such as desertification, the loss of coastal areas by flooding etc., that will additionally cause migration on a much larger scale.


migration, climate change, migration flows, desertification, droughts

Signal's first apperance

before 2000

Signal's potential evolution

It could lead to...
issue type of issue/development potential impact on society timeframe for the issue to become at least 50% probable
#1 WI: Mass migration taking place from the Southern to the Northern Hemisphere. continuation
very harmful

Under what assumption the Weak Signal might evolve.

no sufficient measures taken to mitigate climate change


please specify
please select
Level 4: important for the whole world some rgions will be more affected by climate change than others, the latter will be destinations for migrants